Who are the futurists and what do they do?

When we think of futurists, images of crystal balls and sci-fi writers might come to mind. However, the field of futurism is far more diverse, rigorous, and impactful than these stereotypes suggest. Futurists are professionals who systematically explore potential futures to help organisations and individuals make better decisions today. Let’s dive into the fascinating world of futurists and discover how anyone can cultivate futures thinking skills.

Professional Futurists: Shaping Tomorrow’s World

Professional futurists dedicate their careers to studying and shaping the future. They work across various sectors, from corporations to governments, non-profits to educational institutions. Organisations like the Association of Professional Futurists (APF) and the Institute for the Future (IFTF) are at the forefront of this field.

Key Tools and Methodologies

Professional futurists employ a range of sophisticated techniques:

  • Signals Analysis: Scanning for weak signals of emerging trends
  • Scenario Planning: Crafting detailed narratives of possible futures
  • Forecasting: Developing evidence-based predictions
  • Foresight Workshops: Training others in futures thinking

The Foresight Competency Model

In 2016, the APF released a Foresight Competency Model, mapping the skills futurists need. These include:

  1. Framing
  2. Scanning
  3. Futuring
  4. Designing
  5. Visioning
  6. Adapting

Futurists Across Disciplines

Futures thinking isn’t limited to those with “futurist” in their job title. Professionals across various fields incorporate foresight into their work:

  • Business Leaders: Anticipating market shifts and developing future-proof strategies
  • Educators: Designing curricula for future job markets
  • Artists: Exploring possible futures through creative expression
  • Scientists: Considering long-term impacts of discoveries
  • Activists: Mobilizing around visions of a better future

Becoming a Futurist: It’s More Accessible Than You Think

The field of futurism is becoming increasingly accessible. Programs like IFTF’s Foresight Essentials offer training to individuals and organisations looking to develop their foresight capabilities.

Key Skills to Cultivate

  1. Curiosity: Ask “what if” questions and explore possibilities
  2. Signal Scanning: Identify emerging trends and ideas
  3. Assumption Challenging: Question existing paradigms
  4. Comfort with Uncertainty: Embrace ambiguity and multiple futures
  5. Long-term Thinking: Practice considering 5-10 year timeframes

The Impact of Futurists

Futurists play a crucial role in helping organisations and societies navigate change. Their work:

  • Informs strategic decision-making
  • Drives innovation
  • Enhances resilience and adaptability
  • Shapes public policy and social progress

Futurism in Action

  1. The Millennium Project: A global think tank addressing humanity’s future challenges.
  2. Corporate Foresight: Companies like Arup and Kantar using futures thinking to drive business strategy.
  3. Academic Futurism: Universities offering futures studies programs, fostering the next generation of foresight professionals